It is hard to be enthusiastic about the economy’s prospects as long as house prices are declining. A house is usually a household’s most important asset; many small-business owners use their homes as collateral for business credit, and local governments rely on property tax revenues tied to housing values.
Most worrisome is the risk that housing will resume the vicious cycle seen at the depths of the last recession, when falling prices pushed more homeowners under water—their loans exceeded their homes’
market values—causing more defaults, more distress sales, and even lower prices. That cycle was broken only by unprecedented monetary and fiscal policy support.