The Uncertain Housing Outlook
By CalculatedRisk LA Times
October 15, 2009
The housing outlook has probably never been more uncertain ... and the details are masked by many distortions.
So, as confusing as it is, here is a rough overview ...
Supply: the supply of distressed homes has been severely restricted by a combination of foreclosure delays and trial modifications.
Demand: demand has been distorted by the first-time homebuyer tax credit, by extraordinary levels of lending using government-insured FHA loans, and the Fed buying GSE MBS pushing down mortgage rates.